NASA’s Center for Near-Earth Object Studies (CNEOS) has updated its projection for Asteroid 2024 YR4, estimating a 2.6% (1 in 38) chance of impact with Earth in December 2032. Astronomers will use the James Webb Telescope to refine measurements of the asteroid’s orbit and more accurately assess the potential hazard posed by 2024 YR4, which is estimated to be between 40 and 90 meters in size. This marks the highest impact probability for an asteroid since Apophis was discovered in 2004. At one po

According to NASA’s Center for Near-Earth Object Studies (CNEOS), the asteroid known as 2024 YR currently has a 2.3% chance—or roughly a 1 in 43 likelihood—of striking Earth in 2032. Just a week earlier, the European Space Agency (ESA) had estimated a 1.3% chance of impact on December 22 of that year, the date the asteroid is expected to make its closest approach. In other words, there’s still an overwhelming 99% probability it will safely pass by. Measuring up to 300 feet (about 90 meters) wide

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